The target of this mini-project is to predict who will win at the Oscars, where a simple logistic regression was applied and a couple of pre-Oscar awards were included as features.
Preliminary results are showed as below and predictions will be updated if I have time to improve the model. Strong signals for each award and their corresponding coefficients from the logistic regression model are included. I've also created a couple of polls and you are more than welcome to vote for your favorites. Hope you are having fun in reading this page :)
Best Motion Picture of the Year:
Chance: 1.57%
Chance: 4.21%
Chance: 1.54%
Chance: 20.80%
Chance: 29.06%
Chance: 28.40%
Chance: 7.19%
Chance: 1.45%
Chance: 5.79%
Strong Signals:
Directors Guild of America, USA -- Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Motion Pictures -- winner (1.01)
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Picture -- winner (0.74)
Washington DC Area Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Acting Ensemble -- winner (0.55)
Screen Actors Guild Awards -- Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture -- winner (0.54)
Best Achievement in Directing:
Chance: 15.30%
Chance: 5.33%
Chance: 74.80%
Chance: 0.69%
Chance: 3.88%
Strong Signals:
Directors Guild of America, USA -- Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Motion Pictures -- winner (0.79)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Film -- winner (0.64)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Cinematography -- winner (0.61)
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role:
Chance: 61.44%
Chance: 1.51%
Chance: 2.01%
Chance: 7.98%
Chance: 27.06%
Strong Signals:
Screen Actors Guild Awards -- Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role -- winner (1.76)
Golden Globes, USA -- Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama -- winner (1.11)
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Actor -- winner (1.05)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Leading Actor -- winner (0.87)
National Society of Film Critics Awards, USA -- Best Actor -- winner (0.71)
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role:
Chance: 41.11%
Chance: 3.46%
Chance: 4.79%
Chance: 33.39%
Chance: 17.24%
Strong Signals:
Golden Globes, USA -- Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama -- winner (1.74)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Leading Actress -- winner (1.23)
Screen Actors Guild Awards -- Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role -- winner (1.17)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role -- winner (0.76)
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Actress -- winner (0.65)
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role:
Chance: 61.98%
Chance: 5.55%
Chance: 6.30%
Chance: 8.85%
Chance: 17.32%
Strong Signals:
Golden Globes, USA -- Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture -- winner (1.37)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Supporting Actor -- winner (0.89)
Screen Actors Guild Awards -- Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role -- winner (0.79)
National Society of Film Critics Awards, USA -- Best Supporting Actor -- nominee (0.77)
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Supporting Actor -- nominee (0.73)
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role:
Chance: 78.69%
Chance: 2.74%
Chance: 9.35%
Chance: 4.26%
Chance: 4.97%
Strong Signals:
Screen Actors Guild Awards -- Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role -- winner (1.83)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Supporting Actress -- winner (1.16)
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Supporting Actress -- winner (0.88)
Washington DC Area Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Supporting Actress -- winner (0.84)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role -- winner (0.72)
Best Original Screenplay:
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Song)
Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures (Original Score)
Best Achievement in Cinematography
Best Achievement in Film Editing
Best Achievement in Visual Effects
Craig Hammack, Jason H. Snell, Jason Billington, Burt Dalton (Deepwater Horizon)   Chance: 36.53%
 
Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli, Paul Corbould (Doctor Strange)   Chance: 3.35%
 
Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones, Dan Lemmon (The Jungle Book)   Chance: 10.84%
 
Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean, Brad Schiff (Kubo and the Two Strings)   Chance: 36.40%
 
John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal T. Hickel, Neil Corbould (Rogue One)   Chance: 12.88%
 
Strong Signals:
BAFTA Awards -- Best Special Visual Effects -- winner (0.85)
Visual Effects Society Awards -- Outstanding Created Environment in a Live Action Motion Picture -- winner (0.54)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Achievement in Special Visual Effects -- winner (0.52)
Best Achievement in Sound Mixing
Bernard GariĆ©py Strobl, Claude La Haye (Arrival)   Chance: 31.03%
 
Kevin O'Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie, Peter Grace (Hacksaw Ridge)   Chance: 8.82%
 
Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee, Steven Morrow (La La Land)   Chance: 41.56%
 
David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio, Stuart Wilson (Rogue One)   Chance: 6.30%
 
Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, Mac Ruth (13 Hours)   Chance: 12.29%
 
Strong Signals:
BAFTA Awards -- Best Sound -- winner (1.08)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Editing -- winner (0.57)
Best Achievement in Sound Editing
Best Achievement in Costume Design
Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling
Best Achievement in Production Design
Arrival   Chance: 3.92%
 
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them   Chance: 33.50%
 
Hail, Caesar!   Chance: 20.83%
 
La La Land   Chance: 19.39%
 
Passengers   Chance: 22.36%
 
Strong Signals:
Washington DC Area Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Art Direction -- winner (0.67)
American Cinema Editors, USA -- Best Edited Feature Film - Comedy or Musical -- winner (0.55)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Production Design -- winner (0.54)
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Production Design -- nominee (0.52)
Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)   Chance: 12.98%
 
The Salesman (Iran)   Chance: 10.53%
 
Tanna (Australia)   Chance: 12.98%
 
Toni Erdmann (Germany)   Chance: 55.13%
 
Land of Mine (Denmark)   Chance: 8.37%
 
Strong Signals:
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Foreign Film -- winner (0.79)
Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Foreign Film -- nominee (0.71)
Golden Globes, USA -- Best Foreign Language Film -- nominee (0.69)
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Foreign-Language Film -- winner (0.64)
British Independent Film Awards -- Best International Independent Film -- nominee (0.58)
Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
Kubo and the Two Strings   Chance: 22.25%
 
Moana   Chance: 25.39%
 
My Life as a Zucchini   Chance: 10.40%
 
The Red Turtle   Chance: 7.61%
 
Zootopia   Chance: 34.35%
 
Strong Signals:
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Animated Feature -- winner (0.84)
BAFTA Awards -- Best Animated Film -- winner (0.71)
Washington DC Area Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Animated Feature -- winner (0.63)
Visual Effects Society Awards -- Outstanding Created Environment in an Animated Feature Motion Picture -- winner (0.59)
Visual Effects Society Awards -- Outstanding Animated Character in an Animated Feature Motion Picture -- winner (0.57)
Best Documentary Feature
Fire at Sea   Chance: 7.97%
 
I Am Not Your Negro   Chance: 7.08%
 
Life, Animated   Chance: 8.76%
 
O.J.: Made in America   Chance: 68.01%
 
13th   Chance: 8.19%
 
Strong Signals:
National Board of Review, USA -- Best Documentary -- winner (0.95)
National Board of Review, USA -- Best Documentary -- nominee (0.95)
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Documentary Feature -- nominee (0.79)
Broadcast Film Critics Association Awards -- Best Documentary Feature -- winner (0.65)
American Cinema Editors, USA -- Best Edited Documentary - Feature -- winner (0.63)